Since #21050 (merged 2026-10-18), idx_orchestration_events_agent_stream_sequence has a second forced user: the existing-message lookup in LegacyV1ThreadImporter (LegacyV1ThreadImporter.ts:715).
idx_orch_events_stream_sequence does not serve that read as well on an upgraded database. The thread's V1 rows are still in the table during the import and the stream index holds them too, so the lookup walks them; the partial index holds only V2 rows. On a real upgraded database (#20966), first boot spent 148 s in these lookups, with 5 server stalls of up to 11 s, through the stream index, against 0.3 s and no stalls with the partial index.
Dropping it would also make the import fail with no such index, which the query-plan test in LegacyV1ThreadImporter.test.ts checks. The correlation_id half of this issue is unaffected.