Self-Review Checklist:

- [x] I've reviewed my own diff for quality, security, and reliability
- [ ] Unsafe blocks (if any) have justifying comments
- [ ] The content is consistent with the [UI/UX
checklist](https://github.com/zed-industries/zed/blob/main/CONTRIBUTING.md#uiux-checklist)
- [ ] Tests cover the new/changed behavior
- [x] Performance impact has been considered and is acceptable

NixOS users who are missing rsync get a generic "Please install rsync
using your package manager" message.

Release Notes:

- Improved auto update error message for NixOS users missing rsync